Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak daytime temperatures near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 38°C, as traders weigh the typical August climatological range of 33–37°C highs against short-term forecast guidance showing a modest warming signal. Isolated thunderstorms could cap the maximum near 37°C in some scenarios, reflected in the 27% odds, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies support the 14.5% chance of reaching 39°C. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 12?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 12?
38°C 52%
37°C 27%
39°C 16%
36°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
27%
38°C
52%
39°C
16%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 52%
37°C 27%
39°C 16%
36°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
$471 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$450 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$396 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$761 Wol.
1%
35°C
$543 Wol.
2%
36°C
$737 Wol.
4%
37°C
$1,272 Wol.
27%
38°C
$1,392 Wol.
52%
39°C
$948 Wol.
16%
40°C
$966 Wol.
3%
41°C or higher
$496 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak daytime temperatures near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 38°C, as traders weigh the typical August climatological range of 33–37°C highs against short-term forecast guidance showing a modest warming signal. Isolated thunderstorms could cap the maximum near 37°C in some scenarios, reflected in the 27% odds, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies support the 14.5% chance of reaching 39°C. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,432Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak daytime temperatures near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 38°C, as traders weigh the typical August climatological range of 33–37°C highs against short-term forecast guidance showing a modest warming signal. Isolated thunderstorms could cap the maximum near 37°C in some scenarios, reflected in the 27% odds, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies support the 14.5% chance of reaching 39°C. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,432Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration points to peak daytime temperatures near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 38°C, as traders weigh the typical August climatological range of 33–37°C highs against short-term forecast guidance showing a modest warming signal. Isolated thunderstorms could cap the maximum near 37°C in some scenarios, reflected in the 27% odds, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies support the 14.5% chance of reaching 39°C. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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