Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models positions Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum on August 12 and 23.5% for 29°C. These align with mid-August climatology, where average highs typically reach 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, with minimal rain expected to limit cooling effects. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture could nudge outcomes toward 27°C or 30°C. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and final model runs on August 12 will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 12?
28°C 59%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
18%
28°C
59%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 59%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
$276 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$213 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$335 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$295 Wol.
2%
27°C
$1,202 Wol.
18%
28°C
$1,558 Wol.
59%
29°C
$872 Wol.
24%
30°C
$228 Wol.
3%
31°C
$308 Wol.
1%
32°C
$118 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$881 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models positions Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum on August 12 and 23.5% for 29°C. These align with mid-August climatology, where average highs typically reach 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, with minimal rain expected to limit cooling effects. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture could nudge outcomes toward 27°C or 30°C. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and final model runs on August 12 will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,286Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models positions Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum on August 12 and 23.5% for 29°C. These align with mid-August climatology, where average highs typically reach 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, with minimal rain expected to limit cooling effects. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture could nudge outcomes toward 27°C or 30°C. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and final model runs on August 12 will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,286Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models positions Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions, supporting the market’s 56.5% implied probability for a 28°C daily maximum on August 12 and 23.5% for 29°C. These align with mid-August climatology, where average highs typically reach 27–29°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, with minimal rain expected to limit cooling effects. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, though slight model variations in boundary-layer moisture could nudge outcomes toward 27°C or 30°C. Official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and final model runs on August 12 will determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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