KMA short-range guidance currently indicates a 34°C maximum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 11 under predominantly clear skies and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's near-even split between 33°C and 34°C. Primary drivers include persistent high-pressure ridging favoring strong daytime insolation and surface heating, tempered by possible afternoon sea-breeze advection from the Yellow Sea that can cap Incheon readings 1–2°C below inland Seoul values. Recent moderation after early-August heatwave peaks, combined with ensemble model spread on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak short-wave trough, creates the observed uncertainty. Traders weigh official agency maxima against historical August variability and urban-heat-island amplification when assessing resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
33°C 35%
34°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
35%
34°C
29%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
$360 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$122 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Wol.
1%
30°C
$20 Wol.
3%
31°C
$10 Wol.
8%
32°C
$25 Wol.
23%
33°C
$40 Wol.
35%
34°C
$40 Wol.
29%
35°C
$1 Wol.
9%
36°C
$15 Wol.
5%
37°C or higher
$638 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range guidance currently indicates a 34°C maximum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 11 under predominantly clear skies and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's near-even split between 33°C and 34°C. Primary drivers include persistent high-pressure ridging favoring strong daytime insolation and surface heating, tempered by possible afternoon sea-breeze advection from the Yellow Sea that can cap Incheon readings 1–2°C below inland Seoul values. Recent moderation after early-August heatwave peaks, combined with ensemble model spread on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak short-wave trough, creates the observed uncertainty. Traders weigh official agency maxima against historical August variability and urban-heat-island amplification when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,281Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range guidance currently indicates a 34°C maximum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 11 under predominantly clear skies and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's near-even split between 33°C and 34°C. Primary drivers include persistent high-pressure ridging favoring strong daytime insolation and surface heating, tempered by possible afternoon sea-breeze advection from the Yellow Sea that can cap Incheon readings 1–2°C below inland Seoul values. Recent moderation after early-August heatwave peaks, combined with ensemble model spread on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak short-wave trough, creates the observed uncertainty. Traders weigh official agency maxima against historical August variability and urban-heat-island amplification when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,281Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...KMA short-range guidance currently indicates a 34°C maximum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 11 under predominantly clear skies and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's near-even split between 33°C and 34°C. Primary drivers include persistent high-pressure ridging favoring strong daytime insolation and surface heating, tempered by possible afternoon sea-breeze advection from the Yellow Sea that can cap Incheon readings 1–2°C below inland Seoul values. Recent moderation after early-August heatwave peaks, combined with ensemble model spread on boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak short-wave trough, creates the observed uncertainty. Traders weigh official agency maxima against historical August variability and urban-heat-island amplification when assessing resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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