Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles highlight a strengthening marine layer and onshore flow, suppressing daytime highs to the mid-70s on August 12. Persistent low clouds and patchy fog overnight are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures near 76°F at stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Broader August climatology averages near 85°F, but the current pattern reflects a temporary cooling trend after earlier heat, with limited model spread supporting these moderate outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and morning observations will refine resolution criteria before trading closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 6%
68-69°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 6%
68-69°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
$12 Wol.
1%
68-69°F
$12 Wol.
5%
70-71°F
$5 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$10 Wol.
6%
74-75°F
$10 Wol.
33%
76-77°F
$5 Wol.
43%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
5%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
3%
82-83°F
$12 Wol.
5%
84-85°F
$12 Wol.
5%
86°F or higher
$1 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles highlight a strengthening marine layer and onshore flow, suppressing daytime highs to the mid-70s on August 12. Persistent low clouds and patchy fog overnight are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures near 76°F at stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Broader August climatology averages near 85°F, but the current pattern reflects a temporary cooling trend after earlier heat, with limited model spread supporting these moderate outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and morning observations will refine resolution criteria before trading closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$78Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles highlight a strengthening marine layer and onshore flow, suppressing daytime highs to the mid-70s on August 12. Persistent low clouds and patchy fog overnight are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures near 76°F at stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Broader August climatology averages near 85°F, but the current pattern reflects a temporary cooling trend after earlier heat, with limited model spread supporting these moderate outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and morning observations will refine resolution criteria before trading closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$78Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles highlight a strengthening marine layer and onshore flow, suppressing daytime highs to the mid-70s on August 12. Persistent low clouds and patchy fog overnight are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures near 76°F at stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Broader August climatology averages near 85°F, but the current pattern reflects a temporary cooling trend after earlier heat, with limited model spread supporting these moderate outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and morning observations will refine resolution criteria before trading closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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