Current forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to an overnight low near 80–81°F in Miami on August 12, driven by typical subtropical August conditions with high humidity, light easterly flow, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Sea surface temperatures in the upper 80s sustain warmth, while any scattered convection or cloud cover further moderates temperature drops. Historical baselines show average August minima around 78–80°F, and recent model runs show no major frontal systems or tropical influences shifting the pattern. Trader positioning in the 80–81°F and 82–83°F buckets reflects this stable outlook, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require atypical clear, dry conditions. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
$376 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$255 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$89 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$39 Wol.
5%
78-79°F
$83 Wol.
21%
80-81°F
$60 Wol.
41%
82-83°F
$137 Wol.
30%
84-85°F
$28 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$300 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$376 Wol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$320 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to an overnight low near 80–81°F in Miami on August 12, driven by typical subtropical August conditions with high humidity, light easterly flow, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Sea surface temperatures in the upper 80s sustain warmth, while any scattered convection or cloud cover further moderates temperature drops. Historical baselines show average August minima around 78–80°F, and recent model runs show no major frontal systems or tropical influences shifting the pattern. Trader positioning in the 80–81°F and 82–83°F buckets reflects this stable outlook, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require atypical clear, dry conditions. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,063Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to an overnight low near 80–81°F in Miami on August 12, driven by typical subtropical August conditions with high humidity, light easterly flow, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Sea surface temperatures in the upper 80s sustain warmth, while any scattered convection or cloud cover further moderates temperature drops. Historical baselines show average August minima around 78–80°F, and recent model runs show no major frontal systems or tropical influences shifting the pattern. Trader positioning in the 80–81°F and 82–83°F buckets reflects this stable outlook, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require atypical clear, dry conditions. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,063Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to an overnight low near 80–81°F in Miami on August 12, driven by typical subtropical August conditions with high humidity, light easterly flow, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Sea surface temperatures in the upper 80s sustain warmth, while any scattered convection or cloud cover further moderates temperature drops. Historical baselines show average August minima around 78–80°F, and recent model runs show no major frontal systems or tropical influences shifting the pattern. Trader positioning in the 80–81°F and 82–83°F buckets reflects this stable outlook, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler outcomes that would require atypical clear, dry conditions. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key variable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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