Seasonal August heat in Jeddah’s arid Red Sea coastal climate drives the 43.5% market-implied probability for a 41°C or higher daily maximum, as long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C with frequent excursions above 40°C from persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather model guidance for mid-August 2026 indicates potential peaks near 43°C amid typical low precipitation and high solar insolation, while historical variability allows for 39–40°C outcomes favored by the combined 41% probability on 39–40°C. Short-range forecast updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine steering patterns and any localized sea-breeze moderation ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 13?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 13?
41°C or higher 49%
40°C 24%
39°C 16%
38°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
7%
39°C
16%
40°C
24%
41°C or higher
49%
41°C or higher 49%
40°C 24%
39°C 16%
38°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
31°C or below
$386 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$386 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$376 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$376 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$28 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$960 Wol.
1%
37°C
$163 Wol.
5%
38°C
$76 Wol.
7%
39°C
$65 Wol.
16%
40°C
$392 Wol.
24%
41°C or higher
$96 Wol.
49%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal August heat in Jeddah’s arid Red Sea coastal climate drives the 43.5% market-implied probability for a 41°C or higher daily maximum, as long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C with frequent excursions above 40°C from persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather model guidance for mid-August 2026 indicates potential peaks near 43°C amid typical low precipitation and high solar insolation, while historical variability allows for 39–40°C outcomes favored by the combined 41% probability on 39–40°C. Short-range forecast updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine steering patterns and any localized sea-breeze moderation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,304Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal August heat in Jeddah’s arid Red Sea coastal climate drives the 43.5% market-implied probability for a 41°C or higher daily maximum, as long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C with frequent excursions above 40°C from persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather model guidance for mid-August 2026 indicates potential peaks near 43°C amid typical low precipitation and high solar insolation, while historical variability allows for 39–40°C outcomes favored by the combined 41% probability on 39–40°C. Short-range forecast updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine steering patterns and any localized sea-breeze moderation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,304Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal August heat in Jeddah’s arid Red Sea coastal climate drives the 43.5% market-implied probability for a 41°C or higher daily maximum, as long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C with frequent excursions above 40°C from persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather model guidance for mid-August 2026 indicates potential peaks near 43°C amid typical low precipitation and high solar insolation, while historical variability allows for 39–40°C outcomes favored by the combined 41% probability on 39–40°C. Short-range forecast updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine steering patterns and any localized sea-breeze moderation ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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