Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum near 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny conditions with light winds, following a moderating air mass after early August heat records across central Europe. This aligns with climatological August averages of 23–25°C and supports the market’s clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes, as numerical weather prediction models converge on limited daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model spreads in maximum temperature while noting the low likelihood of extremes above 26°C or below 23°C given current steering patterns and surface conditions. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
24°C 46%
25°C 27%
23°C 24%
22°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
46%
25°C
27%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
25°C 27%
23°C 24%
22°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
$108 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$482 Wol.
1%
22°C
$392 Wol.
4%
23°C
$287 Wol.
24%
24°C
$547 Wol.
46%
25°C
$339 Wol.
27%
26°C
$103 Wol.
4%
27°C
$33 Wol.
2%
28°C
$82 Wol.
1%
29°C
$186 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$210 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum near 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny conditions with light winds, following a moderating air mass after early August heat records across central Europe. This aligns with climatological August averages of 23–25°C and supports the market’s clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes, as numerical weather prediction models converge on limited daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model spreads in maximum temperature while noting the low likelihood of extremes above 26°C or below 23°C given current steering patterns and surface conditions. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,769Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum near 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny conditions with light winds, following a moderating air mass after early August heat records across central Europe. This aligns with climatological August averages of 23–25°C and supports the market’s clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes, as numerical weather prediction models converge on limited daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model spreads in maximum temperature while noting the low likelihood of extremes above 26°C or below 23°C given current steering patterns and surface conditions. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,769Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate a daily maximum near 24–25°C in Warsaw on August 13 under partly sunny conditions with light winds, following a moderating air mass after early August heat records across central Europe. This aligns with climatological August averages of 23–25°C and supports the market’s clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes, as numerical weather prediction models converge on limited daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model spreads in maximum temperature while noting the low likelihood of extremes above 26°C or below 23°C given current steering patterns and surface conditions. Updated guidance closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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