Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate Warsaw's August 11 maximum will likely settle near 22–23°C under stable high pressure and modest insolation, with limited warm-air advection from the south keeping readings close to or slightly below the 23–25°C seasonal norm. Recent model runs show minimal spread in predicted surface temperatures, while light winds and partly cloudy conditions reduce uncertainty around peak heating. Traders have priced the tight 22°C/23°C split to reflect this narrow envelope and the possibility of small revisions from the next update cycle or local station microclimate effects before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 11?
22°C 35%
23°C 34%
24°C 15%
21°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
35%
23°C
34%
24°C
15%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 35%
23°C 34%
24°C 15%
21°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$67 Wol.
1%
19°C
$68 Wol.
3%
20°C
$0 Wol.
3%
21°C
$170 Wol.
13%
22°C
$156 Wol.
35%
23°C
$76 Wol.
34%
24°C
$63 Wol.
15%
25°C
$21 Wol.
2%
26°C
$235 Wol.
1%
27°C
$255 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,405 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate Warsaw's August 11 maximum will likely settle near 22–23°C under stable high pressure and modest insolation, with limited warm-air advection from the south keeping readings close to or slightly below the 23–25°C seasonal norm. Recent model runs show minimal spread in predicted surface temperatures, while light winds and partly cloudy conditions reduce uncertainty around peak heating. Traders have priced the tight 22°C/23°C split to reflect this narrow envelope and the possibility of small revisions from the next update cycle or local station microclimate effects before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,517Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate Warsaw's August 11 maximum will likely settle near 22–23°C under stable high pressure and modest insolation, with limited warm-air advection from the south keeping readings close to or slightly below the 23–25°C seasonal norm. Recent model runs show minimal spread in predicted surface temperatures, while light winds and partly cloudy conditions reduce uncertainty around peak heating. Traders have priced the tight 22°C/23°C split to reflect this narrow envelope and the possibility of small revisions from the next update cycle or local station microclimate effects before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,517Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS indicate Warsaw's August 11 maximum will likely settle near 22–23°C under stable high pressure and modest insolation, with limited warm-air advection from the south keeping readings close to or slightly below the 23–25°C seasonal norm. Recent model runs show minimal spread in predicted surface temperatures, while light winds and partly cloudy conditions reduce uncertainty around peak heating. Traders have priced the tight 22°C/23°C split to reflect this narrow envelope and the possibility of small revisions from the next update cycle or local station microclimate effects before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania