Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 13 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and cloud formation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (56.5 %) and 34 °C (34.5 %), as traders interpret the warm air mass and seasonal peak in August climatology—when average highs reach 30–32 °C—as favoring values at the upper end of the envelope. Minor model spread and potential urban heat-island effects at official stations introduce modest uncertainty around the exact threshold, keeping smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes while underscoring the stability of the current pattern ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13?
33°C 56%
34°C 35%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
56%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 35%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
56%
34°C
35%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daily maximum near 32–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 13 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit mixing and cloud formation. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (56.5 %) and 34 °C (34.5 %), as traders interpret the warm air mass and seasonal peak in August climatology—when average highs reach 30–32 °C—as favoring values at the upper end of the envelope. Minor model spread and potential urban heat-island effects at official stations introduce modest uncertainty around the exact threshold, keeping smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes while underscoring the stability of the current pattern ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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