Trader consensus on the closely matched 23°C (49.5%) and 24°C (40.5%) outcomes for Tokyo’s August 13 minimum temperature reflects ensemble agreement from models such as ECMWF and GFS, which project overnight lows near these thresholds amid mid-August subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention. Scientific differentiation centers on nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that can shift minima by 1°C, with Japan Meteorological Agency historical data showing typical August lows around 24–25°C subject to interannual variability. Uncertainty persists due to short-range model spread, with resolution depending on official JMA station observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
23°C 50%
24°C 41%
22°C 7%
21°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
50%
24°C
41%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 50%
24°C 41%
22°C 7%
21°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$111 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$97 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$153 Wol.
2%
22°C
$222 Wol.
7%
23°C
$545 Wol.
50%
24°C
$354 Wol.
41%
25°C
$162 Wol.
2%
26°C
$153 Wol.
2%
27°C
$126 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$206 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the closely matched 23°C (49.5%) and 24°C (40.5%) outcomes for Tokyo’s August 13 minimum temperature reflects ensemble agreement from models such as ECMWF and GFS, which project overnight lows near these thresholds amid mid-August subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention. Scientific differentiation centers on nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that can shift minima by 1°C, with Japan Meteorological Agency historical data showing typical August lows around 24–25°C subject to interannual variability. Uncertainty persists due to short-range model spread, with resolution depending on official JMA station observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,244Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the closely matched 23°C (49.5%) and 24°C (40.5%) outcomes for Tokyo’s August 13 minimum temperature reflects ensemble agreement from models such as ECMWF and GFS, which project overnight lows near these thresholds amid mid-August subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention. Scientific differentiation centers on nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that can shift minima by 1°C, with Japan Meteorological Agency historical data showing typical August lows around 24–25°C subject to interannual variability. Uncertainty persists due to short-range model spread, with resolution depending on official JMA station observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,244Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the closely matched 23°C (49.5%) and 24°C (40.5%) outcomes for Tokyo’s August 13 minimum temperature reflects ensemble agreement from models such as ECMWF and GFS, which project overnight lows near these thresholds amid mid-August subtropical high pressure and urban heat retention. Scientific differentiation centers on nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that can shift minima by 1°C, with Japan Meteorological Agency historical data showing typical August lows around 24–25°C subject to interannual variability. Uncertainty persists due to short-range model spread, with resolution depending on official JMA station observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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