Recent forecast updates from global and regional models highlight increased moisture advection and potential thunderstorm activity over Beijing on August 12, driven by a passing weather system that favors cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup narrows the likely daily maximum to 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind direction relative to the urban heat island, and the precise timing of any convective rainfall, all of which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration remain modest, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than model disagreement, with fresh runs expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 12?
27°C 36%
26°C 30%
28°C 19%
25°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
30%
27°C
36%
28°C
19%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 30%
28°C 19%
25°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
$393 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$108 Wol.
1%
24°C
$328 Wol.
3%
25°C
$119 Wol.
10%
26°C
$125 Wol.
30%
27°C
$712 Wol.
36%
28°C
$89 Wol.
19%
29°C
$157 Wol.
9%
30°C
$73 Wol.
3%
31°C
$16 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$77 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global and regional models highlight increased moisture advection and potential thunderstorm activity over Beijing on August 12, driven by a passing weather system that favors cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup narrows the likely daily maximum to 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind direction relative to the urban heat island, and the precise timing of any convective rainfall, all of which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration remain modest, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than model disagreement, with fresh runs expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,198Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from global and regional models highlight increased moisture advection and potential thunderstorm activity over Beijing on August 12, driven by a passing weather system that favors cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup narrows the likely daily maximum to 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind direction relative to the urban heat island, and the precise timing of any convective rainfall, all of which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration remain modest, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than model disagreement, with fresh runs expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,198Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from global and regional models highlight increased moisture advection and potential thunderstorm activity over Beijing on August 12, driven by a passing weather system that favors cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup narrows the likely daily maximum to 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind direction relative to the urban heat island, and the precise timing of any convective rainfall, all of which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration remain modest, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than model disagreement, with fresh runs expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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