Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing emphasize typical mid-August conditions under the East Asian monsoon regime, with model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily maximum of 32–34°C on August 10 driven by high solar insolation, persistent humidity, and the urban heat island effect amplifying nighttime heat retention. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly around these values because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind shear from regional pressure gradients, or the timing of potential convective showers can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs often exceed 33°C before seasonal cooling accelerates after the solar term Liqiu, supporting trader focus on near-term model runs rather than longer-term trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 10?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 10?
33°C 31%
34°C 26%
32°C 23%
35°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
23%
33°C
31%
34°C
26%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 31%
34°C 26%
32°C 23%
35°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
28°C or below
$23 Wol.
1%
29°C
$10 Wol.
2%
30°C
$0 Wol.
4%
31°C
$0 Wol.
9%
32°C
$0 Wol.
23%
33°C
$10 Wol.
31%
34°C
$7 Wol.
26%
35°C
$2 Wol.
13%
36°C
$10 Wol.
4%
37°C
$5 Wol.
5%
38°C or higher
$40 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing emphasize typical mid-August conditions under the East Asian monsoon regime, with model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily maximum of 32–34°C on August 10 driven by high solar insolation, persistent humidity, and the urban heat island effect amplifying nighttime heat retention. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly around these values because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind shear from regional pressure gradients, or the timing of potential convective showers can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs often exceed 33°C before seasonal cooling accelerates after the solar term Liqiu, supporting trader focus on near-term model runs rather than longer-term trends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$106Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing emphasize typical mid-August conditions under the East Asian monsoon regime, with model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily maximum of 32–34°C on August 10 driven by high solar insolation, persistent humidity, and the urban heat island effect amplifying nighttime heat retention. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly around these values because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind shear from regional pressure gradients, or the timing of potential convective showers can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs often exceed 33°C before seasonal cooling accelerates after the solar term Liqiu, supporting trader focus on near-term model runs rather than longer-term trends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$106Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing emphasize typical mid-August conditions under the East Asian monsoon regime, with model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration pointing to a daily maximum of 32–34°C on August 10 driven by high solar insolation, persistent humidity, and the urban heat island effect amplifying nighttime heat retention. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly around these values because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind shear from regional pressure gradients, or the timing of potential convective showers can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs often exceed 33°C before seasonal cooling accelerates after the solar term Liqiu, supporting trader focus on near-term model runs rather than longer-term trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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