Recent official forecasts from AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid's August 10 maximum near 34–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and subsiding warm air typical of Iberian summer anticyclones. Ensemble data from ECMWF and GFS indicate modest warm advection at 850 hPa with limited cloud cover or Atlantic moisture, keeping diurnal peaks in the upper 30s rather than triggering extremes above 38°C or dropping below 35°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 37°C (43.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) leads aligns with the latest deterministic runs favoring 36–37°C while acknowledging ensemble spread and the potential for small shifts from updated boundary-layer mixing or minor ridge adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window. Historical August climatology in Madrid centers on 32–34°C averages, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly without heatwave amplification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 10?
37°C 44%
36°C 28%
38°C 16%
35°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
28%
37°C
44%
38°C
16%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 44%
36°C 28%
38°C 16%
35°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
$77 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$34 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$19 Wol.
1%
34°C
$50 Wol.
2%
35°C
$180 Wol.
8%
36°C
$1,648 Wol.
28%
37°C
$1,784 Wol.
44%
38°C
$547 Wol.
16%
39°C
$197 Wol.
2%
40°C
$249 Wol.
1%
41°C or higher
$45 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid's August 10 maximum near 34–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and subsiding warm air typical of Iberian summer anticyclones. Ensemble data from ECMWF and GFS indicate modest warm advection at 850 hPa with limited cloud cover or Atlantic moisture, keeping diurnal peaks in the upper 30s rather than triggering extremes above 38°C or dropping below 35°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 37°C (43.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) leads aligns with the latest deterministic runs favoring 36–37°C while acknowledging ensemble spread and the potential for small shifts from updated boundary-layer mixing or minor ridge adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window. Historical August climatology in Madrid centers on 32–34°C averages, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly without heatwave amplification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,829Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid's August 10 maximum near 34–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and subsiding warm air typical of Iberian summer anticyclones. Ensemble data from ECMWF and GFS indicate modest warm advection at 850 hPa with limited cloud cover or Atlantic moisture, keeping diurnal peaks in the upper 30s rather than triggering extremes above 38°C or dropping below 35°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 37°C (43.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) leads aligns with the latest deterministic runs favoring 36–37°C while acknowledging ensemble spread and the potential for small shifts from updated boundary-layer mixing or minor ridge adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window. Historical August climatology in Madrid centers on 32–34°C averages, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly without heatwave amplification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,829Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid's August 10 maximum near 34–37°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and subsiding warm air typical of Iberian summer anticyclones. Ensemble data from ECMWF and GFS indicate modest warm advection at 850 hPa with limited cloud cover or Atlantic moisture, keeping diurnal peaks in the upper 30s rather than triggering extremes above 38°C or dropping below 35°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 37°C (43.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) leads aligns with the latest deterministic runs favoring 36–37°C while acknowledging ensemble spread and the potential for small shifts from updated boundary-layer mixing or minor ridge adjustments ahead of the 48-hour window. Historical August climatology in Madrid centers on 32–34°C averages, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly without heatwave amplification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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