Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a maximum near 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes. A strong subtropical high-pressure system continues to dominate, advecting warm, moist air northward, though increased cloud cover and potential scattered showers may limit peak heating compared with July's extreme "kokushobi" episodes that exceeded 40°C in parts of the Kanto region. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo typically add 1–2°C to official readings, while climatological normals for early August hover around 31–32°C. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing will likely refine whether modest clearing allows a brief push toward 34°C or if persistent cloud keeps the high closer to 32–33°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 8?
33°C 40%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
35°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
40%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
35°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
27°C or below
$408 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,091 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$702 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$867 Wol.
2%
31°C
$746 Wol.
5%
32°C
$752 Wol.
27%
33°C
$1,235 Wol.
40%
34°C
$919 Wol.
23%
35°C
$1,567 Wol.
6%
36°C
$617 Wol.
2%
37°C or higher
$439 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a maximum near 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes. A strong subtropical high-pressure system continues to dominate, advecting warm, moist air northward, though increased cloud cover and potential scattered showers may limit peak heating compared with July's extreme "kokushobi" episodes that exceeded 40°C in parts of the Kanto region. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo typically add 1–2°C to official readings, while climatological normals for early August hover around 31–32°C. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing will likely refine whether modest clearing allows a brief push toward 34°C or if persistent cloud keeps the high closer to 32–33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,340Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a maximum near 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes. A strong subtropical high-pressure system continues to dominate, advecting warm, moist air northward, though increased cloud cover and potential scattered showers may limit peak heating compared with July's extreme "kokushobi" episodes that exceeded 40°C in parts of the Kanto region. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo typically add 1–2°C to official readings, while climatological normals for early August hover around 31–32°C. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing will likely refine whether modest clearing allows a brief push toward 34°C or if persistent cloud keeps the high closer to 32–33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,340Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a maximum near 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's heaviest positioning on those outcomes. A strong subtropical high-pressure system continues to dominate, advecting warm, moist air northward, though increased cloud cover and potential scattered showers may limit peak heating compared with July's extreme "kokushobi" episodes that exceeded 40°C in parts of the Kanto region. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo typically add 1–2°C to official readings, while climatological normals for early August hover around 31–32°C. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing will likely refine whether modest clearing allows a brief push toward 34°C or if persistent cloud keeps the high closer to 32–33°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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