Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 17°C in London on August 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, though ensemble models show modest spread around this value. Persistent high pressure has maintained above-average overnight temperatures across southern England this summer, limiting radiative cooling, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud could raise the minimum by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 18°C and 19°C reflects trader assessment of these boundary-layer uncertainties and the potential for slight forecast revisions before resolution. Historical August minima in London average near 13–14°C, underscoring how current warm nocturnal conditions elevate the distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the largest shifts in positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 10?
Lowest temperature in London on August 10?
19°C 38%
18°C 37%
17°C 16%
20°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
37%
19°C
38%
20°C
12%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 38%
18°C 37%
17°C 16%
20°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
$76 Wol.
1%
14°C
$71 Wol.
1%
15°C
$23 Wol.
2%
16°C
$32 Wol.
5%
17°C
$44 Wol.
16%
18°C
$575 Wol.
37%
19°C
$81 Wol.
38%
20°C
$61 Wol.
12%
21°C
$44 Wol.
1%
22°C
$44 Wol.
1%
23°C or higher
$87 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 17°C in London on August 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, though ensemble models show modest spread around this value. Persistent high pressure has maintained above-average overnight temperatures across southern England this summer, limiting radiative cooling, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud could raise the minimum by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 18°C and 19°C reflects trader assessment of these boundary-layer uncertainties and the potential for slight forecast revisions before resolution. Historical August minima in London average near 13–14°C, underscoring how current warm nocturnal conditions elevate the distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the largest shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,138Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 17°C in London on August 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, though ensemble models show modest spread around this value. Persistent high pressure has maintained above-average overnight temperatures across southern England this summer, limiting radiative cooling, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud could raise the minimum by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 18°C and 19°C reflects trader assessment of these boundary-layer uncertainties and the potential for slight forecast revisions before resolution. Historical August minima in London average near 13–14°C, underscoring how current warm nocturnal conditions elevate the distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the largest shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,138Data zakończenia
Aug 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 17°C in London on August 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, though ensemble models show modest spread around this value. Persistent high pressure has maintained above-average overnight temperatures across southern England this summer, limiting radiative cooling, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud could raise the minimum by 1–2°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 18°C and 19°C reflects trader assessment of these boundary-layer uncertainties and the potential for slight forecast revisions before resolution. Historical August minima in London average near 13–14°C, underscoring how current warm nocturnal conditions elevate the distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the largest shifts in positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania