Persistent subtropical high pressure over the South China Sea, combined with high humidity and scattered thundery showers, is limiting overnight radiational cooling and anchoring Hong Kong's minimum temperatures near 28–29 °C for August 12. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and model consensus project overnight lows in this narrow range, consistent with August climatology (average low ~27 °C) and the absence of any approaching cold front or typhoon. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 29 °C (58.5 %) and 28 °C (32.5 %) bins, with only modest weight on 27 °C (9.0 %) if clearer skies allow slightly greater cooling before dawn. Updated forecast runs and any shift in shower coverage remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
29°C 59%
28°C 33%
27°C 7%
30°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
33%
29°C
59%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 59%
28°C 33%
27°C 7%
30°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$270 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$276 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$281 Wol.
2%
27°C
$469 Wol.
7%
28°C
$940 Wol.
33%
29°C
$1,619 Wol.
59%
30°C
$1,371 Wol.
3%
31°C
$282 Wol.
1%
32°C
$652 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$590 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$660 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the South China Sea, combined with high humidity and scattered thundery showers, is limiting overnight radiational cooling and anchoring Hong Kong's minimum temperatures near 28–29 °C for August 12. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and model consensus project overnight lows in this narrow range, consistent with August climatology (average low ~27 °C) and the absence of any approaching cold front or typhoon. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 29 °C (58.5 %) and 28 °C (32.5 %) bins, with only modest weight on 27 °C (9.0 %) if clearer skies allow slightly greater cooling before dawn. Updated forecast runs and any shift in shower coverage remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,410Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the South China Sea, combined with high humidity and scattered thundery showers, is limiting overnight radiational cooling and anchoring Hong Kong's minimum temperatures near 28–29 °C for August 12. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and model consensus project overnight lows in this narrow range, consistent with August climatology (average low ~27 °C) and the absence of any approaching cold front or typhoon. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 29 °C (58.5 %) and 28 °C (32.5 %) bins, with only modest weight on 27 °C (9.0 %) if clearer skies allow slightly greater cooling before dawn. Updated forecast runs and any shift in shower coverage remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$7,410Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure over the South China Sea, combined with high humidity and scattered thundery showers, is limiting overnight radiational cooling and anchoring Hong Kong's minimum temperatures near 28–29 °C for August 12. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and model consensus project overnight lows in this narrow range, consistent with August climatology (average low ~27 °C) and the absence of any approaching cold front or typhoon. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 29 °C (58.5 %) and 28 °C (32.5 %) bins, with only modest weight on 27 °C (9.0 %) if clearer skies allow slightly greater cooling before dawn. Updated forecast runs and any shift in shower coverage remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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