Recent Met Office forecasts position a 30°C high as the most probable outcome for London on August 12, aligning with current model consensus under continued warm, stable high-pressure conditions across southern England. The 2026 summer has already delivered well above-average temperatures, multiple heatwave periods, and record days exceeding 30°C, establishing a warm baseline that supports the market's clustering around 29–31°C. Short-range guidance shows gradual warming from 26–27°C on August 10–11 toward the midweek peak, with limited model spread noted so far. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 12?
Highest temperature in London on August 12?
30°C 43%
29°C 29%
31°C 24%
28°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
29%
30°C
43%
31°C
24%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 29%
31°C 24%
28°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$394 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$384 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$601 Wol.
1%
27°C
$262 Wol.
3%
28°C
$410 Wol.
6%
29°C
$1,084 Wol.
29%
30°C
$1,111 Wol.
43%
31°C
$1,043 Wol.
24%
32°C
$463 Wol.
3%
33°C
$268 Wol.
5%
34°C or higher
$364 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 30°C high as the most probable outcome for London on August 12, aligning with current model consensus under continued warm, stable high-pressure conditions across southern England. The 2026 summer has already delivered well above-average temperatures, multiple heatwave periods, and record days exceeding 30°C, establishing a warm baseline that supports the market's clustering around 29–31°C. Short-range guidance shows gradual warming from 26–27°C on August 10–11 toward the midweek peak, with limited model spread noted so far. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,382Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts position a 30°C high as the most probable outcome for London on August 12, aligning with current model consensus under continued warm, stable high-pressure conditions across southern England. The 2026 summer has already delivered well above-average temperatures, multiple heatwave periods, and record days exceeding 30°C, establishing a warm baseline that supports the market's clustering around 29–31°C. Short-range guidance shows gradual warming from 26–27°C on August 10–11 toward the midweek peak, with limited model spread noted so far. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,382Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts position a 30°C high as the most probable outcome for London on August 12, aligning with current model consensus under continued warm, stable high-pressure conditions across southern England. The 2026 summer has already delivered well above-average temperatures, multiple heatwave periods, and record days exceeding 30°C, establishing a warm baseline that supports the market's clustering around 29–31°C. Short-range guidance shows gradual warming from 26–27°C on August 10–11 toward the midweek peak, with limited model spread noted so far. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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