Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C for Tokyo on August 13, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to moderate daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28°C (34.5% implied probability) over 29°C or 27°C, as seasonal Pacific high pressure yields to transient frontal activity following July's extreme heat. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of rainfall, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, and urban heat island effects that amplify maxima under clearer skies. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow spreads ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 13?
28°C 34%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
21%
28°C
34%
29°C
24%
30°C
10%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 34%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$472 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$172 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$58 Wol.
1%
26°C
$240 Wol.
6%
27°C
$795 Wol.
21%
28°C
$806 Wol.
34%
29°C
$292 Wol.
24%
30°C
$252 Wol.
10%
31°C
$338 Wol.
6%
32°C
$234 Wol.
2%
33°C or higher
$1,165 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C for Tokyo on August 13, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to moderate daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28°C (34.5% implied probability) over 29°C or 27°C, as seasonal Pacific high pressure yields to transient frontal activity following July's extreme heat. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of rainfall, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, and urban heat island effects that amplify maxima under clearer skies. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow spreads ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,824Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C for Tokyo on August 13, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to moderate daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28°C (34.5% implied probability) over 29°C or 27°C, as seasonal Pacific high pressure yields to transient frontal activity following July's extreme heat. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of rainfall, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, and urban heat island effects that amplify maxima under clearer skies. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow spreads ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,824Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a highest temperature near 28–30°C for Tokyo on August 13, with scattered showers and increased cloud cover expected to moderate daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28°C (34.5% implied probability) over 29°C or 27°C, as seasonal Pacific high pressure yields to transient frontal activity following July's extreme heat. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of rainfall, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, and urban heat island effects that amplify maxima under clearer skies. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow spreads ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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