Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles indicates a modest cooling trend across northern France as the intense mid-August heat dome shifts eastward, allowing a fresher Atlantic air mass to moderate overnight temperatures in Paris. Persistent urban heat island effects and limited cloud cover have kept recent minimums elevated near 20–22°C, but increasing northerly flow and potential scattered cloud on August 16 should enhance radiative cooling and support a low around 19°C. Seasonal baselines place typical August overnight readings at 15–18°C, yet the lingering warmth from the prolonged heatwave episode keeps probabilities concentrated on 19°C or slightly cooler outcomes. Updated guidance expected from Météo-France and ECMWF runs will refine land-breeze and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
19°C 35%
18°C or below 24%
20°C 18%
21°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
24%
19°C
35%
20°C
18%
21°C
12%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35%
18°C or below 24%
20°C 18%
21°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,734 Wol.
24%
19°C
$1,713 Wol.
35%
20°C
$247 Wol.
18%
21°C
$603 Wol.
12%
22°C
$100 Wol.
3%
23°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$67 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$62 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$62 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$62 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$62 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles indicates a modest cooling trend across northern France as the intense mid-August heat dome shifts eastward, allowing a fresher Atlantic air mass to moderate overnight temperatures in Paris. Persistent urban heat island effects and limited cloud cover have kept recent minimums elevated near 20–22°C, but increasing northerly flow and potential scattered cloud on August 16 should enhance radiative cooling and support a low around 19°C. Seasonal baselines place typical August overnight readings at 15–18°C, yet the lingering warmth from the prolonged heatwave episode keeps probabilities concentrated on 19°C or slightly cooler outcomes. Updated guidance expected from Météo-France and ECMWF runs will refine land-breeze and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,819Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles indicates a modest cooling trend across northern France as the intense mid-August heat dome shifts eastward, allowing a fresher Atlantic air mass to moderate overnight temperatures in Paris. Persistent urban heat island effects and limited cloud cover have kept recent minimums elevated near 20–22°C, but increasing northerly flow and potential scattered cloud on August 16 should enhance radiative cooling and support a low around 19°C. Seasonal baselines place typical August overnight readings at 15–18°C, yet the lingering warmth from the prolonged heatwave episode keeps probabilities concentrated on 19°C or slightly cooler outcomes. Updated guidance expected from Météo-France and ECMWF runs will refine land-breeze and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,819Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles indicates a modest cooling trend across northern France as the intense mid-August heat dome shifts eastward, allowing a fresher Atlantic air mass to moderate overnight temperatures in Paris. Persistent urban heat island effects and limited cloud cover have kept recent minimums elevated near 20–22°C, but increasing northerly flow and potential scattered cloud on August 16 should enhance radiative cooling and support a low around 19°C. Seasonal baselines place typical August overnight readings at 15–18°C, yet the lingering warmth from the prolonged heatwave episode keeps probabilities concentrated on 19°C or slightly cooler outcomes. Updated guidance expected from Météo-France and ECMWF runs will refine land-breeze and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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