Recent short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Travel China Guide indicate overnight lows in Shanghai of 24–25°C on August 17, 2026, under cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. These align with typical late-summer conditions driven by the subtropical high, East Asian monsoon moisture, and urban heat retention, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling despite high daytime humidity. Consensus model guidance shows no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence to push minima below 24°C or allow clearer skies for deeper cooling toward 23°C or lower. Trader sentiment therefore concentrates on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow expected range around the climatological August low near 25°C and limited upside risk for 27°C+ absent unusual warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
26°C 42%
25°C 34%
27°C 15%
23°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C
34%
26°C
42%
27°C
15%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 34%
27°C 15%
23°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Wol.
4%
20°C
$5 Wol.
4%
21°C
$5 Wol.
2%
22°C
$10 Wol.
7%
23°C
$10 Wol.
9%
24°C
$134 Wol.
6%
25°C
$62 Wol.
34%
26°C
$57 Wol.
42%
27°C
$27 Wol.
15%
28°C
$25 Wol.
4%
29°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Travel China Guide indicate overnight lows in Shanghai of 24–25°C on August 17, 2026, under cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. These align with typical late-summer conditions driven by the subtropical high, East Asian monsoon moisture, and urban heat retention, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling despite high daytime humidity. Consensus model guidance shows no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence to push minima below 24°C or allow clearer skies for deeper cooling toward 23°C or lower. Trader sentiment therefore concentrates on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow expected range around the climatological August low near 25°C and limited upside risk for 27°C+ absent unusual warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$345Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Travel China Guide indicate overnight lows in Shanghai of 24–25°C on August 17, 2026, under cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. These align with typical late-summer conditions driven by the subtropical high, East Asian monsoon moisture, and urban heat retention, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling despite high daytime humidity. Consensus model guidance shows no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence to push minima below 24°C or allow clearer skies for deeper cooling toward 23°C or lower. Trader sentiment therefore concentrates on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow expected range around the climatological August low near 25°C and limited upside risk for 27°C+ absent unusual warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$345Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Travel China Guide indicate overnight lows in Shanghai of 24–25°C on August 17, 2026, under cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. These align with typical late-summer conditions driven by the subtropical high, East Asian monsoon moisture, and urban heat retention, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling despite high daytime humidity. Consensus model guidance shows no strong cold-air advection or typhoon influence to push minima below 24°C or allow clearer skies for deeper cooling toward 23°C or lower. Trader sentiment therefore concentrates on 25–26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow expected range around the climatological August low near 25°C and limited upside risk for 27°C+ absent unusual warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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