Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to scattered thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, which are expected to moderate peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 34–35 °C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, August afternoon convection often develops under high humidity and weak steering flow, capping surface temperatures even as solar insolation remains strong. Historical August averages hover around 33 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C only when clearer, drier air masses arrive. Current model consensus favors the lower end of that range because of persistent moisture and cloud cover, though small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could still allow brief clearing and a higher reading. Traders are therefore clustering probability on 34–36 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between typical convective cooling and the possibility of localized suppression of showers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 15?
35°C 40%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
24%
35°C
40%
36°C
21%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$116 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$112 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,256 Wol.
2%
32°C
$1,475 Wol.
4%
33°C
$434 Wol.
11%
34°C
$252 Wol.
24%
35°C
$441 Wol.
40%
36°C
$303 Wol.
21%
37°C
$539 Wol.
6%
38°C
$313 Wol.
1%
39°C or higher
$184 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to scattered thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, which are expected to moderate peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 34–35 °C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, August afternoon convection often develops under high humidity and weak steering flow, capping surface temperatures even as solar insolation remains strong. Historical August averages hover around 33 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C only when clearer, drier air masses arrive. Current model consensus favors the lower end of that range because of persistent moisture and cloud cover, though small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could still allow brief clearing and a higher reading. Traders are therefore clustering probability on 34–36 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between typical convective cooling and the possibility of localized suppression of showers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,012Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to scattered thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, which are expected to moderate peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 34–35 °C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, August afternoon convection often develops under high humidity and weak steering flow, capping surface temperatures even as solar insolation remains strong. Historical August averages hover around 33 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C only when clearer, drier air masses arrive. Current model consensus favors the lower end of that range because of persistent moisture and cloud cover, though small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could still allow brief clearing and a higher reading. Traders are therefore clustering probability on 34–36 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between typical convective cooling and the possibility of localized suppression of showers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,012Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to scattered thunderstorms and showers on August 15, 2026, which are expected to moderate peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 34–35 °C. In this subtropical monsoon climate, August afternoon convection often develops under high humidity and weak steering flow, capping surface temperatures even as solar insolation remains strong. Historical August averages hover around 33 °C, with occasional spikes above 36 °C only when clearer, drier air masses arrive. Current model consensus favors the lower end of that range because of persistent moisture and cloud cover, though small shifts in timing or intensity of rain could still allow brief clearing and a higher reading. Traders are therefore clustering probability on 34–36 °C outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between typical convective cooling and the possibility of localized suppression of showers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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