Current short-range forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will likely settle near 25–26°C, shaped by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers that reduce nocturnal radiative cooling. These outcomes dominate trader consensus because baseline climatology shows August lows averaging around 25–26°C, with urban heat-island effects and moisture from the East Asian monsoon limiting sharper drops. Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on precise timing of any cloud cover or rainfall, which can trap heat overnight, alongside minor model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Fresh updates from the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
25°C 42%
26°C 38%
27°C 10%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
5%
25°C
42%
26°C
38%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 42%
26°C 38%
27°C 10%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
$52 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$47 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$52 Wol.
1%
23°C
$20 Wol.
6%
24°C
$87 Wol.
5%
25°C
$1,592 Wol.
42%
26°C
$290 Wol.
38%
27°C
$135 Wol.
10%
28°C
$58 Wol.
5%
29°C
$47 Wol.
1%
30°C or higher
$27 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will likely settle near 25–26°C, shaped by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers that reduce nocturnal radiative cooling. These outcomes dominate trader consensus because baseline climatology shows August lows averaging around 25–26°C, with urban heat-island effects and moisture from the East Asian monsoon limiting sharper drops. Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on precise timing of any cloud cover or rainfall, which can trap heat overnight, alongside minor model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Fresh updates from the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,407Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will likely settle near 25–26°C, shaped by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers that reduce nocturnal radiative cooling. These outcomes dominate trader consensus because baseline climatology shows August lows averaging around 25–26°C, with urban heat-island effects and moisture from the East Asian monsoon limiting sharper drops. Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on precise timing of any cloud cover or rainfall, which can trap heat overnight, alongside minor model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Fresh updates from the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,407Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 16 will likely settle near 25–26°C, shaped by typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers that reduce nocturnal radiative cooling. These outcomes dominate trader consensus because baseline climatology shows August lows averaging around 25–26°C, with urban heat-island effects and moisture from the East Asian monsoon limiting sharper drops. Differentiation between 25°C and 26°C hinges on precise timing of any cloud cover or rainfall, which can trap heat overnight, alongside minor model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Fresh updates from the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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