Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to a high of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 16, with scattered thundershowers and broken cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating and keep peak readings near seasonal norms. High humidity and possible rain reduce surface insolation, while steering patterns favor onshore flow that prevents strong warming; this uncertainty between 30°C and 31°C drives the tight 42.5%–33.5% market split. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
30°C 40%
31°C 34%
29°C 21%
28°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
21%
30°C
40%
31°C
34%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 34%
29°C 21%
28°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$324 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$226 Wol.
1%
27°C
$310 Wol.
2%
28°C
$584 Wol.
5%
29°C
$574 Wol.
21%
30°C
$424 Wol.
40%
31°C
$1,788 Wol.
34%
32°C
$695 Wol.
5%
33°C
$206 Wol.
2%
34°C
$156 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$159 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to a high of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 16, with scattered thundershowers and broken cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating and keep peak readings near seasonal norms. High humidity and possible rain reduce surface insolation, while steering patterns favor onshore flow that prevents strong warming; this uncertainty between 30°C and 31°C drives the tight 42.5%–33.5% market split. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,445Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to a high of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 16, with scattered thundershowers and broken cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating and keep peak readings near seasonal norms. High humidity and possible rain reduce surface insolation, while steering patterns favor onshore flow that prevents strong warming; this uncertainty between 30°C and 31°C drives the tight 42.5%–33.5% market split. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,445Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com points to a high of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 16, with scattered thundershowers and broken cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating and keep peak readings near seasonal norms. High humidity and possible rain reduce surface insolation, while steering patterns favor onshore flow that prevents strong warming; this uncertainty between 30°C and 31°C drives the tight 42.5%–33.5% market split. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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