Recent forecasts and long-term climatological data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's highest temperature on August 16, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability. The city experiences typical August highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity moderating extremes and official monitoring from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing recent daily maxima around 29–30°C. Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant heat advection or clear skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher, though localized variability in coastal effects introduces modest uncertainty. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
32°C 51%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
30°C 3%
NOWE
$10,122 Wol.
NOWE
$10,122 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
51%
33°C
30%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
30°C 3%
NOWE
$10,122 Wol.
NOWE
$10,122 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$232 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$338 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$577 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$720 Wol.
3%
31°C
$888 Wol.
16%
32°C
$3,663 Wol.
51%
33°C
$2,310 Wol.
30%
34°C
$303 Wol.
1%
35°C
$285 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$577 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$229 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and long-term climatological data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's highest temperature on August 16, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability. The city experiences typical August highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity moderating extremes and official monitoring from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing recent daily maxima around 29–30°C. Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant heat advection or clear skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher, though localized variability in coastal effects introduces modest uncertainty. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,122Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and long-term climatological data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's highest temperature on August 16, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability. The city experiences typical August highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity moderating extremes and official monitoring from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing recent daily maxima around 29–30°C. Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant heat advection or clear skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher, though localized variability in coastal effects introduces modest uncertainty. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,122Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and long-term climatological data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's highest temperature on August 16, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability. The city experiences typical August highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity moderating extremes and official monitoring from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing recent daily maxima around 29–30°C. Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant heat advection or clear skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher, though localized variability in coastal effects introduces modest uncertainty. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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