Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate currently indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C for Warsaw on August 16, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer continental air under building high pressure, though increasing afternoon cloud cover may limit peak heating. This places the 29°C and 30°C outcomes as market leaders because ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with differences arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any showers, and local urban heat-island effects versus rural measurement sites. Historical August averages near 23–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, yet 28°C remains competitive if models trend cooler with greater cloud cover or earlier precipitation. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 16?
29°C 33%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
33%
30°C
26%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$86 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$112 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$93 Wol.
1%
26°C
$211 Wol.
2%
27°C
$155 Wol.
7%
28°C
$24 Wol.
22%
29°C
$170 Wol.
33%
30°C
$612 Wol.
26%
31°C
$543 Wol.
8%
32°C
$827 Wol.
2%
33°C or higher
$353 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate currently indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C for Warsaw on August 16, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer continental air under building high pressure, though increasing afternoon cloud cover may limit peak heating. This places the 29°C and 30°C outcomes as market leaders because ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with differences arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any showers, and local urban heat-island effects versus rural measurement sites. Historical August averages near 23–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, yet 28°C remains competitive if models trend cooler with greater cloud cover or earlier precipitation. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,187Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate currently indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C for Warsaw on August 16, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer continental air under building high pressure, though increasing afternoon cloud cover may limit peak heating. This places the 29°C and 30°C outcomes as market leaders because ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with differences arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any showers, and local urban heat-island effects versus rural measurement sites. Historical August averages near 23–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, yet 28°C remains competitive if models trend cooler with greater cloud cover or earlier precipitation. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,187Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate currently indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C for Warsaw on August 16, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer continental air under building high pressure, though increasing afternoon cloud cover may limit peak heating. This places the 29°C and 30°C outcomes as market leaders because ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with differences arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any showers, and local urban heat-island effects versus rural measurement sites. Historical August averages near 23–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, yet 28°C remains competitive if models trend cooler with greater cloud cover or earlier precipitation. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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