El Niño conditions strengthening across the Pacific in 2026 are driving warmer and drier weather over Singapore, elevating the likelihood of daily maximum temperatures near or above the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Reduced rainfall and cloud cover allow greater solar insolation and surface heating during the day, while the urban heat island effect and high humidity limit overnight cooling and keep the diurnal range narrow. Local steering patterns and short-duration thundery showers can still cap peaks at 31°C or push them to 33°C depending on timing and intensity. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with 31°C and 32°C closely matched as the most probable outcomes under current model guidance from agencies like the National Environment Agency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
32°C 47%
31°C 42%
33°C 7%
30°C 7%
NOWE
$14,252 Wol.
NOWE
$14,252 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
42%
32°C
47%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 42%
33°C 7%
30°C 7%
NOWE
$14,252 Wol.
NOWE
$14,252 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$285 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$268 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$470 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$700 Wol.
1%
29°C
$1,202 Wol.
2%
30°C
$1,243 Wol.
7%
31°C
$2,813 Wol.
42%
32°C
$4,116 Wol.
47%
33°C
$1,820 Wol.
7%
34°C
$792 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$544 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions strengthening across the Pacific in 2026 are driving warmer and drier weather over Singapore, elevating the likelihood of daily maximum temperatures near or above the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Reduced rainfall and cloud cover allow greater solar insolation and surface heating during the day, while the urban heat island effect and high humidity limit overnight cooling and keep the diurnal range narrow. Local steering patterns and short-duration thundery showers can still cap peaks at 31°C or push them to 33°C depending on timing and intensity. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with 31°C and 32°C closely matched as the most probable outcomes under current model guidance from agencies like the National Environment Agency.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,252Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions strengthening across the Pacific in 2026 are driving warmer and drier weather over Singapore, elevating the likelihood of daily maximum temperatures near or above the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Reduced rainfall and cloud cover allow greater solar insolation and surface heating during the day, while the urban heat island effect and high humidity limit overnight cooling and keep the diurnal range narrow. Local steering patterns and short-duration thundery showers can still cap peaks at 31°C or push them to 33°C depending on timing and intensity. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with 31°C and 32°C closely matched as the most probable outcomes under current model guidance from agencies like the National Environment Agency.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,252Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...El Niño conditions strengthening across the Pacific in 2026 are driving warmer and drier weather over Singapore, elevating the likelihood of daily maximum temperatures near or above the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Reduced rainfall and cloud cover allow greater solar insolation and surface heating during the day, while the urban heat island effect and high humidity limit overnight cooling and keep the diurnal range narrow. Local steering patterns and short-duration thundery showers can still cap peaks at 31°C or push them to 33°C depending on timing and intensity. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with 31°C and 32°C closely matched as the most probable outcomes under current model guidance from agencies like the National Environment Agency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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