Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
26°C 40%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
34%
26°C
40%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$88 Wol.
2%
23°C
$365 Wol.
4%
24°C
$557 Wol.
11%
25°C
$181 Wol.
34%
26°C
$397 Wol.
40%
27°C
$674 Wol.
13%
28°C
$303 Wol.
2%
29°C
$374 Wol.
2%
30°C
$138 Wol.
1%
31°C
$191 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,439Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,439Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for a high of 26°C in Toronto on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with a 70% chance of showers, keeping surface heating limited compared to clearer conditions. This places the market-implied probabilities tightly between 25°C and 26°C as traders weigh model spread in timing and intensity of any precipitation, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical August climatology for the region shows mean daily maxima near 25°C, with interannual variability driven by steering patterns and lake-breeze effects from Lake Ontario. Updated model runs and real-time observations will resolve the narrow gap before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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