Forecasts from Environment Canada and other models currently favor a sunny day with a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, driving the narrow market lead for that outcome at 42.5% implied probability over 25°C at 35.5%. Stable high-pressure patterns and light winds support modest warming from recent days without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Historical August averages hover near 25°C, placing the current consensus within typical late-summer variability. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and any late-day changes keeps the two leading bins closely matched, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting limited upside potential from unexpected warming. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine resolution ahead of official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on August 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 15?
26°C 42%
25°C 38%
24°C 18%
27°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
38%
26°C
42%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 38%
24°C 18%
27°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
$107 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$99 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$638 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$646 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$970 Wol.
3%
24°C
$1,566 Wol.
18%
25°C
$1,048 Wol.
38%
26°C
$2,357 Wol.
42%
27°C
$1,039 Wol.
6%
28°C
$586 Wol.
1%
29°C or higher
$221 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Environment Canada and other models currently favor a sunny day with a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, driving the narrow market lead for that outcome at 42.5% implied probability over 25°C at 35.5%. Stable high-pressure patterns and light winds support modest warming from recent days without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Historical August averages hover near 25°C, placing the current consensus within typical late-summer variability. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and any late-day changes keeps the two leading bins closely matched, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting limited upside potential from unexpected warming. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine resolution ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,277Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Environment Canada and other models currently favor a sunny day with a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, driving the narrow market lead for that outcome at 42.5% implied probability over 25°C at 35.5%. Stable high-pressure patterns and light winds support modest warming from recent days without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Historical August averages hover near 25°C, placing the current consensus within typical late-summer variability. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and any late-day changes keeps the two leading bins closely matched, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting limited upside potential from unexpected warming. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine resolution ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,277Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Environment Canada and other models currently favor a sunny day with a high near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, driving the narrow market lead for that outcome at 42.5% implied probability over 25°C at 35.5%. Stable high-pressure patterns and light winds support modest warming from recent days without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Historical August averages hover near 25°C, placing the current consensus within typical late-summer variability. Minor model spread on exact peak timing and any late-day changes keeps the two leading bins closely matched, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting limited upside potential from unexpected warming. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine resolution ahead of official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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