Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Seoul and Incheon on August 18, supported by mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light northerly flow. Persistent late-summer humidity and residual heat from earlier August extremes keep the upper range plausible, yet scattered shower or thunderstorm activity could cap temperatures near 29°C. Model spread across guidance runs creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 31°C, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or higher absent stronger subsidence. Updated short-range runs and observed trends over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 18?
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
22%
30°C
33%
31°C
28%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
$481 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$448 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$213 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$43 Wol.
3%
27°C
$91 Wol.
3%
28°C
$28 Wol.
8%
29°C
$48 Wol.
22%
30°C
$108 Wol.
33%
31°C
$54 Wol.
28%
32°C
$26 Wol.
9%
33°C or higher
$63 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Seoul and Incheon on August 18, supported by mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light northerly flow. Persistent late-summer humidity and residual heat from earlier August extremes keep the upper range plausible, yet scattered shower or thunderstorm activity could cap temperatures near 29°C. Model spread across guidance runs creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 31°C, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or higher absent stronger subsidence. Updated short-range runs and observed trends over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,604Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Seoul and Incheon on August 18, supported by mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light northerly flow. Persistent late-summer humidity and residual heat from earlier August extremes keep the upper range plausible, yet scattered shower or thunderstorm activity could cap temperatures near 29°C. Model spread across guidance runs creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 31°C, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or higher absent stronger subsidence. Updated short-range runs and observed trends over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,604Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a likely daily maximum near 30–31°C in Seoul and Incheon on August 18, supported by mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light northerly flow. Persistent late-summer humidity and residual heat from earlier August extremes keep the upper range plausible, yet scattered shower or thunderstorm activity could cap temperatures near 29°C. Model spread across guidance runs creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 31°C, with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C or higher absent stronger subsidence. Updated short-range runs and observed trends over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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