Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 18, supported by persistent southerly winds and cooler polar air masses that have kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where August daily maxima average around 12°C. Model consensus and current observations of cold, showery weather have concentrated trader positioning on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with any northward shift in high-pressure systems or reduced wind speeds the main variables that could push readings higher before final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 18?
11°C 43%
12°C 30%
10°C 15%
13°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
4%
10°C
15%
11°C
43%
12°C
30%
13°C
6%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 43%
12°C 30%
10°C 15%
13°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
6°C or below
$181 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$181 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$15 Wol.
3%
9°C
$5 Wol.
4%
10°C
$34 Wol.
15%
11°C
$17 Wol.
43%
12°C
$870 Wol.
30%
13°C
$100 Wol.
6%
14°C
$7 Wol.
3%
15°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$105 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 18, supported by persistent southerly winds and cooler polar air masses that have kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where August daily maxima average around 12°C. Model consensus and current observations of cold, showery weather have concentrated trader positioning on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with any northward shift in high-pressure systems or reduced wind speeds the main variables that could push readings higher before final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,620Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 18, supported by persistent southerly winds and cooler polar air masses that have kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where August daily maxima average around 12°C. Model consensus and current observations of cold, showery weather have concentrated trader positioning on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with any northward shift in high-pressure systems or reduced wind speeds the main variables that could push readings higher before final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,620Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 10–11°C for Wellington on August 18, supported by persistent southerly winds and cooler polar air masses that have kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the region, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where August daily maxima average around 12°C. Model consensus and current observations of cold, showery weather have concentrated trader positioning on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes, with any northward shift in high-pressure systems or reduced wind speeds the main variables that could push readings higher before final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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