Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models place Beijing's August 20 maximum in the 31–34°C range, with the highest probabilities clustering on 32°C and 33°C due to typical late-summer subtropical high influence tempered by possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show modest day-to-day adjustments from evolving moisture and steering patterns. Traders weigh this forecast consensus against inherent uncertainty in summer convection timing and local urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 20?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 20?
32°C 30%
33°C 26%
34°C 24%
31°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
17%
32°C
30%
33°C
26%
34°C
24%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 30%
33°C 26%
34°C 24%
31°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Wol.
1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
1%
29°C
$10 Wol.
7%
30°C
$0 Wol.
11%
31°C
$4 Wol.
17%
32°C
$5 Wol.
30%
33°C
$0 Wol.
26%
34°C
$2 Wol.
24%
35°C
$12 Wol.
5%
36°C or higher
$15 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models place Beijing's August 20 maximum in the 31–34°C range, with the highest probabilities clustering on 32°C and 33°C due to typical late-summer subtropical high influence tempered by possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show modest day-to-day adjustments from evolving moisture and steering patterns. Traders weigh this forecast consensus against inherent uncertainty in summer convection timing and local urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$63Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models place Beijing's August 20 maximum in the 31–34°C range, with the highest probabilities clustering on 32°C and 33°C due to typical late-summer subtropical high influence tempered by possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show modest day-to-day adjustments from evolving moisture and steering patterns. Traders weigh this forecast consensus against inherent uncertainty in summer convection timing and local urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$63Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models place Beijing's August 20 maximum in the 31–34°C range, with the highest probabilities clustering on 32°C and 33°C due to typical late-summer subtropical high influence tempered by possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show modest day-to-day adjustments from evolving moisture and steering patterns. Traders weigh this forecast consensus against inherent uncertainty in summer convection timing and local urban heat effects, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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