Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a daytime high near 32°C in Tokyo for August 20 under persistent Pacific high pressure, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of late-summer climatology. Urban heat island effects and high humidity further support temperatures in the 30–33°C range, while any increase in cloud cover or sea breezes could cap the peak one to two degrees lower. With multiple ensemble runs clustered around this value and only modest day-to-day variability expected this close to the event, traders assign nearly equal probability across 28–32°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but still uncertain envelope of possible maximum temperatures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?
31°C 36%
32°C 29%
30°C 25%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
29%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
32°C 29%
30°C 25%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
26°C or below
$13 Wol.
1%
27°C
$109 Wol.
1%
28°C
$84 Wol.
6%
29°C
$22 Wol.
9%
30°C
$2 Wol.
25%
31°C
$24 Wol.
36%
32°C
$26 Wol.
29%
33°C
$18 Wol.
9%
34°C
$7 Wol.
3%
35°C
$5 Wol.
4%
36°C or higher
$26 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a daytime high near 32°C in Tokyo for August 20 under persistent Pacific high pressure, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of late-summer climatology. Urban heat island effects and high humidity further support temperatures in the 30–33°C range, while any increase in cloud cover or sea breezes could cap the peak one to two degrees lower. With multiple ensemble runs clustered around this value and only modest day-to-day variability expected this close to the event, traders assign nearly equal probability across 28–32°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but still uncertain envelope of possible maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$336Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a daytime high near 32°C in Tokyo for August 20 under persistent Pacific high pressure, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of late-summer climatology. Urban heat island effects and high humidity further support temperatures in the 30–33°C range, while any increase in cloud cover or sea breezes could cap the peak one to two degrees lower. With multiple ensemble runs clustered around this value and only modest day-to-day variability expected this close to the event, traders assign nearly equal probability across 28–32°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but still uncertain envelope of possible maximum temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$336Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a daytime high near 32°C in Tokyo for August 20 under persistent Pacific high pressure, which promotes subsidence, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of late-summer climatology. Urban heat island effects and high humidity further support temperatures in the 30–33°C range, while any increase in cloud cover or sea breezes could cap the peak one to two degrees lower. With multiple ensemble runs clustered around this value and only modest day-to-day variability expected this close to the event, traders assign nearly equal probability across 28–32°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow but still uncertain envelope of possible maximum temperatures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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