Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a 25°C overnight minimum for August 21, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light winds, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August daily minima average near 26–28°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that range. Trader positioning at 98% implied probability for exactly 25°C captures this strong alignment of official guidance and observational trends, though minor shifts in localized wind patterns or unexpected cloud breaks could still push the recorded low to 24°C or 26°C before final verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
25°C 98%
24°C 2.5%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,956 Wol.
$44,956 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 2.5%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,956 Wol.
$44,956 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$1,334 Wol.
1%
23°C
$3,615 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,226 Wol.
2%
25°C
$9,331 Wol.
98%
26°C
$6,040 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$5,900 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5,615 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,853 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,170 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,336 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,536 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a 25°C overnight minimum for August 21, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light winds, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August daily minima average near 26–28°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that range. Trader positioning at 98% implied probability for exactly 25°C captures this strong alignment of official guidance and observational trends, though minor shifts in localized wind patterns or unexpected cloud breaks could still push the recorded low to 24°C or 26°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,956Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a 25°C overnight minimum for August 21, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light winds, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August daily minima average near 26–28°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that range. Trader positioning at 98% implied probability for exactly 25°C captures this strong alignment of official guidance and observational trends, though minor shifts in localized wind patterns or unexpected cloud breaks could still push the recorded low to 24°C or 26°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$44,956Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical weather models have converged on a 25°C overnight minimum for August 21, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light winds, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August daily minima average near 26–28°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from that range. Trader positioning at 98% implied probability for exactly 25°C captures this strong alignment of official guidance and observational trends, though minor shifts in localized wind patterns or unexpected cloud breaks could still push the recorded low to 24°C or 26°C before final verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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