Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23 is expected to settle near 27–28 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates a forecast range of 27–31 °C, reflecting elevated humidity and light southwesterly flow that suppresses the usual 2–3 °C diurnal drop. Recent model consensus shows minor disagreements on exact shower timing and coverage, which can raise overnight lows by 1 °C when cloud decks thicken or allow brief clear spells that enhance long-wave heat loss. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 27 °C and 28 °C, with lower-probability outliers requiring either unusually strong subsidence or organized convection not currently indicated. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will refine the precise threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
26°C 17%
25°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
17%
27°C
36%
28°C
32%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
26°C 17%
25°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$86 Wol.
1%
22°C
$136 Wol.
1%
23°C
$777 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$173 Wol.
4%
25°C
$272 Wol.
6%
26°C
$85 Wol.
17%
27°C
$280 Wol.
36%
28°C
$283 Wol.
32%
29°C
$69 Wol.
6%
30°C
$106 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$106 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23 is expected to settle near 27–28 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates a forecast range of 27–31 °C, reflecting elevated humidity and light southwesterly flow that suppresses the usual 2–3 °C diurnal drop. Recent model consensus shows minor disagreements on exact shower timing and coverage, which can raise overnight lows by 1 °C when cloud decks thicken or allow brief clear spells that enhance long-wave heat loss. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 27 °C and 28 °C, with lower-probability outliers requiring either unusually strong subsidence or organized convection not currently indicated. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,372Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23 is expected to settle near 27–28 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates a forecast range of 27–31 °C, reflecting elevated humidity and light southwesterly flow that suppresses the usual 2–3 °C diurnal drop. Recent model consensus shows minor disagreements on exact shower timing and coverage, which can raise overnight lows by 1 °C when cloud decks thicken or allow brief clear spells that enhance long-wave heat loss. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 27 °C and 28 °C, with lower-probability outliers requiring either unusually strong subsidence or organized convection not currently indicated. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,372Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on August 23 is expected to settle near 27–28 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and persistent cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Official guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates a forecast range of 27–31 °C, reflecting elevated humidity and light southwesterly flow that suppresses the usual 2–3 °C diurnal drop. Recent model consensus shows minor disagreements on exact shower timing and coverage, which can raise overnight lows by 1 °C when cloud decks thicken or allow brief clear spells that enhance long-wave heat loss. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 27 °C and 28 °C, with lower-probability outliers requiring either unusually strong subsidence or organized convection not currently indicated. Updated HKO briefings and next model runs will refine the precise threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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