Ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the highest temperature on August 23 near seasonal norms. PAGASA outlooks indicate a 30–32°C range with 60–80% rain chances, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C amid high humidity. This supports the market’s concentration of implied probability around 30–32°C, while model variability in monsoon intensity and localized convection creates the observed spread. Clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above, whereas heavier rainfall would cap maxima closer to 29°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 23?
30°C 32%
31°C 19%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
32%
31°C
19%
32°C
17%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
31°C 19%
32°C 17%
29°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$176 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
1%
28°C
$52 Wol.
6%
29°C
$0 Wol.
14%
30°C
$0 Wol.
32%
31°C
$6 Wol.
19%
32°C
$11 Wol.
17%
33°C
$0 Wol.
11%
34°C
$20 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$20 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the highest temperature on August 23 near seasonal norms. PAGASA outlooks indicate a 30–32°C range with 60–80% rain chances, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C amid high humidity. This supports the market’s concentration of implied probability around 30–32°C, while model variability in monsoon intensity and localized convection creates the observed spread. Clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above, whereas heavier rainfall would cap maxima closer to 29°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$286Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the highest temperature on August 23 near seasonal norms. PAGASA outlooks indicate a 30–32°C range with 60–80% rain chances, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C amid high humidity. This supports the market’s concentration of implied probability around 30–32°C, while model variability in monsoon intensity and localized convection creates the observed spread. Clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above, whereas heavier rainfall would cap maxima closer to 29°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$286Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the highest temperature on August 23 near seasonal norms. PAGASA outlooks indicate a 30–32°C range with 60–80% rain chances, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C amid high humidity. This supports the market’s concentration of implied probability around 30–32°C, while model variability in monsoon intensity and localized convection creates the observed spread. Clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above, whereas heavier rainfall would cap maxima closer to 29°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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