Recent short-range forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles place Istanbul's August 23 maximum near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus positions 28 °C as the leading implied probability at 50 %, reflecting typical late-August climatology near the 28–29 °C seasonal average and limited model spread for the 48-hour window. Dry conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the chance of either significant warming or cooling, while upcoming 00z and 12z model cycles will provide the next key updates traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
28°C 51%
29°C 20%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
51%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
29°C 20%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
51%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles place Istanbul's August 23 maximum near 28–30 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus positions 28 °C as the leading implied probability at 50 %, reflecting typical late-August climatology near the 28–29 °C seasonal average and limited model spread for the 48-hour window. Dry conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the chance of either significant warming or cooling, while upcoming 00z and 12z model cycles will provide the next key updates traders are monitoring ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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