Recent short-term forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum temperatures of 21°C for Amsterdam on August 21, following a post-heatwave cooldown after early-August peaks near 38°C. This aligns with climatological averages of 21–22°C for late August and places the market's leading outcomes of 20°C (46%) and 19°C (20%) squarely in the consensus range, with 21°C at 16%. Model guidance from ECMWF and similar systems shows limited spread due to stable westerly flow and typical North Sea maritime moderation, reducing upside risks above 22°C while making sub-19°C outcomes less probable absent an unexpected cold front. Upcoming model runs and official KNMI updates will refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
20°C 57%
19°C 20%
21°C 17%
22°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
6%
19°C
20%
20°C
48%
21°C
17%
22°C
13%
23°C
8%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 57%
19°C 20%
21°C 17%
22°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
$23 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$73 Wol.
1%
17°C
$14 Wol.
5%
18°C
$10 Wol.
6%
19°C
$97 Wol.
20%
20°C
$251 Wol.
48%
21°C
$23 Wol.
17%
22°C
$15 Wol.
13%
23°C
$5 Wol.
8%
24°C
$21 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$36 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum temperatures of 21°C for Amsterdam on August 21, following a post-heatwave cooldown after early-August peaks near 38°C. This aligns with climatological averages of 21–22°C for late August and places the market's leading outcomes of 20°C (46%) and 19°C (20%) squarely in the consensus range, with 21°C at 16%. Model guidance from ECMWF and similar systems shows limited spread due to stable westerly flow and typical North Sea maritime moderation, reducing upside risks above 22°C while making sub-19°C outcomes less probable absent an unexpected cold front. Upcoming model runs and official KNMI updates will refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$560Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum temperatures of 21°C for Amsterdam on August 21, following a post-heatwave cooldown after early-August peaks near 38°C. This aligns with climatological averages of 21–22°C for late August and places the market's leading outcomes of 20°C (46%) and 19°C (20%) squarely in the consensus range, with 21°C at 16%. Model guidance from ECMWF and similar systems shows limited spread due to stable westerly flow and typical North Sea maritime moderation, reducing upside risks above 22°C while making sub-19°C outcomes less probable absent an unexpected cold front. Upcoming model runs and official KNMI updates will refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$560Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate maximum temperatures of 21°C for Amsterdam on August 21, following a post-heatwave cooldown after early-August peaks near 38°C. This aligns with climatological averages of 21–22°C for late August and places the market's leading outcomes of 20°C (46%) and 19°C (20%) squarely in the consensus range, with 21°C at 16%. Model guidance from ECMWF and similar systems shows limited spread due to stable westerly flow and typical North Sea maritime moderation, reducing upside risks above 22°C while making sub-19°C outcomes less probable absent an unexpected cold front. Upcoming model runs and official KNMI updates will refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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