Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a maximum temperature in London on August 19 most likely between 23–24°C under sunny intervals and light winds, with limited cloud cover supporting modest daytime heating. This narrow range reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, including variable insolation from scattered high cloud and the moderating influence of urban heat retention versus nocturnal cooling. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around these values capture trader consensus on the balance between a stable high-pressure influence and any incoming Atlantic moisture that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while final resolution hinges on official Met Office observations accounting for site-specific microclimates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 19?
Highest temperature in London on August 19?
23°C 30%
24°C 29%
22°C 17%
25°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
17%
23°C
30%
24°C
29%
25°C
11%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 30%
24°C 29%
22°C 17%
25°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
21°C
$0 Wol.
7%
22°C
$16 Wol.
17%
23°C
$71 Wol.
30%
24°C
$67 Wol.
29%
25°C
$0 Wol.
11%
26°C
$77 Wol.
9%
27°C
$5 Wol.
4%
28°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a maximum temperature in London on August 19 most likely between 23–24°C under sunny intervals and light winds, with limited cloud cover supporting modest daytime heating. This narrow range reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, including variable insolation from scattered high cloud and the moderating influence of urban heat retention versus nocturnal cooling. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around these values capture trader consensus on the balance between a stable high-pressure influence and any incoming Atlantic moisture that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while final resolution hinges on official Met Office observations accounting for site-specific microclimates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$255Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a maximum temperature in London on August 19 most likely between 23–24°C under sunny intervals and light winds, with limited cloud cover supporting modest daytime heating. This narrow range reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, including variable insolation from scattered high cloud and the moderating influence of urban heat retention versus nocturnal cooling. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around these values capture trader consensus on the balance between a stable high-pressure influence and any incoming Atlantic moisture that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while final resolution hinges on official Met Office observations accounting for site-specific microclimates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$255Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a maximum temperature in London on August 19 most likely between 23–24°C under sunny intervals and light winds, with limited cloud cover supporting modest daytime heating. This narrow range reflects typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, including variable insolation from scattered high cloud and the moderating influence of urban heat retention versus nocturnal cooling. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around these values capture trader consensus on the balance between a stable high-pressure influence and any incoming Atlantic moisture that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while final resolution hinges on official Met Office observations accounting for site-specific microclimates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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