Recent forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF models points to a daytime maximum near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19 under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly flow. These conditions create tight uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could push the peak either side of the 21.5°C threshold. Sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea remain near seasonal norms, limiting rapid advection of warmer continental air, while any embedded showers would further cap highs. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the slight warm bias in recent guidance persists or trends cooler.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 19?
21°C 43%
22°C 35%
20°C 16%
23°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
16%
21°C
43%
22°C
35%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 35%
20°C 16%
23°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$114 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$195 Wol.
1%
18°C
$107 Wol.
1%
19°C
$308 Wol.
4%
20°C
$325 Wol.
16%
21°C
$515 Wol.
43%
22°C
$1,187 Wol.
35%
23°C
$247 Wol.
5%
24°C
$147 Wol.
1%
25°C
$114 Wol.
1%
26°C or higher
$88 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF models points to a daytime maximum near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19 under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly flow. These conditions create tight uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could push the peak either side of the 21.5°C threshold. Sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea remain near seasonal norms, limiting rapid advection of warmer continental air, while any embedded showers would further cap highs. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the slight warm bias in recent guidance persists or trends cooler.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,346Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF models points to a daytime maximum near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19 under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly flow. These conditions create tight uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could push the peak either side of the 21.5°C threshold. Sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea remain near seasonal norms, limiting rapid advection of warmer continental air, while any embedded showers would further cap highs. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the slight warm bias in recent guidance persists or trends cooler.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,346Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF models points to a daytime maximum near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 19 under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly flow. These conditions create tight uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could push the peak either side of the 21.5°C threshold. Sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea remain near seasonal norms, limiting rapid advection of warmer continental air, while any embedded showers would further cap highs. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the slight warm bias in recent guidance persists or trends cooler.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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