**Recent monsoon activity and official forecasts are the main drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 17 maximum temperature.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a high of 29°C under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers and a heavy rainfall warning, which aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C (both ~29.5% implied probability). Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation limits daytime warming, keeping temperatures below typical late-monsoon averages of 31–33°C. Minor differences among numerical weather models on rainfall timing and intensity create the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to expected suppression from active convection. Updated IMD briefings and model runs in the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 17?
30°C 32%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
30%
30°C
32%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$8 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$8 Wol.
1%
26°C
$40 Wol.
2%
27°C
$82 Wol.
5%
28°C
$153 Wol.
15%
29°C
$299 Wol.
30%
30°C
$7 Wol.
32%
31°C
$263 Wol.
15%
32°C
$205 Wol.
5%
33°C
$21 Wol.
2%
34°C or higher
$25 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon activity and official forecasts are the main drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 17 maximum temperature.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a high of 29°C under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers and a heavy rainfall warning, which aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C (both ~29.5% implied probability). Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation limits daytime warming, keeping temperatures below typical late-monsoon averages of 31–33°C. Minor differences among numerical weather models on rainfall timing and intensity create the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to expected suppression from active convection. Updated IMD briefings and model runs in the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,112Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent monsoon activity and official forecasts are the main drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 17 maximum temperature.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a high of 29°C under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers and a heavy rainfall warning, which aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C (both ~29.5% implied probability). Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation limits daytime warming, keeping temperatures below typical late-monsoon averages of 31–33°C. Minor differences among numerical weather models on rainfall timing and intensity create the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to expected suppression from active convection. Updated IMD briefings and model runs in the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,112Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent monsoon activity and official forecasts are the main drivers of trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 17 maximum temperature.** The India Meteorological Department (IMD) projects a high of 29°C under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers and a heavy rainfall warning, which aligns with the near-even market split between 29°C and 30°C (both ~29.5% implied probability). Widespread cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from precipitation limits daytime warming, keeping temperatures below typical late-monsoon averages of 31–33°C. Minor differences among numerical weather models on rainfall timing and intensity create the tight contest between these two outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher due to expected suppression from active convection. Updated IMD briefings and model runs in the next 24 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania