**Trader consensus around 36–38°C for Chongqing’s August 17 high reflects the latest model guidance showing peak temperatures near 37–38°C amid a persistent mid-August heat wave.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, amplified by the urban heat island effect and surrounding mountains that limit ventilation, typically produces daily maxima of 35–40°C in August, with high humidity sustaining elevated overnight lows near 27°C. Recent forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and the Met Office indicate 100–101°F (38°C) under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with isolated thunderstorms possible late in the day that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. The narrow spread between 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes stems from uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of any convective cooling versus continued subsidence warming, while lower probabilities for 39°C+ or sub-35°C reflect historical rarity and current model consensus against extremes. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 17?
37°C 31%
38°C 29%
36°C 23%
39°C 12%
33°C or below
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
11%
36°C
23%
37°C
31%
38°C
29%
39°C
12%
40°C
9%
41°C
8%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
4%
37°C 31%
38°C 29%
36°C 23%
39°C 12%
33°C or below
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
11%
36°C
23%
37°C
31%
38°C
29%
39°C
12%
40°C
9%
41°C
8%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 36–38°C for Chongqing’s August 17 high reflects the latest model guidance showing peak temperatures near 37–38°C amid a persistent mid-August heat wave.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, amplified by the urban heat island effect and surrounding mountains that limit ventilation, typically produces daily maxima of 35–40°C in August, with high humidity sustaining elevated overnight lows near 27°C. Recent forecasts from sources such as timeanddate.com and the Met Office indicate 100–101°F (38°C) under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with isolated thunderstorms possible late in the day that could trim the peak by 1–2°C. The narrow spread between 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes stems from uncertainty in the exact timing and coverage of any convective cooling versus continued subsidence warming, while lower probabilities for 39°C+ or sub-35°C reflect historical rarity and current model consensus against extremes. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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