Current short-term forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure pattern over Istanbul, with daytime maxima expected near 26–28 °C on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions and moderate northerly winds. These values align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26 °C (59.5 %) and 27 °C (31.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August climatology averaging 27–29 °C. The moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea plus potential light cloud cover introduce 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, while ensemble spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs remains modest. Updated official guidance before resolution will provide the next clear signal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
26°C 60%
27°C 32%
25°C 7%
28°C 4%
NOWE
$10,721 Wol.
NOWE
$10,721 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
60%
27°C
32%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 60%
27°C 32%
25°C 7%
28°C 4%
NOWE
$10,721 Wol.
NOWE
$10,721 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
$561 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$473 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$424 Wol.
1%
24°C
$380 Wol.
1%
25°C
$635 Wol.
7%
26°C
$3,200 Wol.
60%
27°C
$1,809 Wol.
32%
28°C
$717 Wol.
4%
29°C
$436 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$656 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,430 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure pattern over Istanbul, with daytime maxima expected near 26–28 °C on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions and moderate northerly winds. These values align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26 °C (59.5 %) and 27 °C (31.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August climatology averaging 27–29 °C. The moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea plus potential light cloud cover introduce 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, while ensemble spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs remains modest. Updated official guidance before resolution will provide the next clear signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,721Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure pattern over Istanbul, with daytime maxima expected near 26–28 °C on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions and moderate northerly winds. These values align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26 °C (59.5 %) and 27 °C (31.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August climatology averaging 27–29 °C. The moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea plus potential light cloud cover introduce 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, while ensemble spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs remains modest. Updated official guidance before resolution will provide the next clear signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,721Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure pattern over Istanbul, with daytime maxima expected near 26–28 °C on August 17 under mostly sunny conditions and moderate northerly winds. These values align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 26 °C (59.5 %) and 27 °C (31.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August climatology averaging 27–29 °C. The moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea plus potential light cloud cover introduce 1–2 °C day-to-day variability, while ensemble spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs remains modest. Updated official guidance before resolution will provide the next clear signal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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