Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24–25 °C, with modest spread that explains the near-even market split between those two bins. A building ridge of high pressure is expected to promote subsidence and clearer skies during peak heating hours, while southerly flow advects slightly warmer air from the Black Sea region; however, variable low-level moisture and the precise timing of any diurnal cloud build-up can shift the realized peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average around 23 °C, so current guidance sits modestly above climatology, but lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiative effects keeps 23 °C and 26 °C viable secondary outcomes until the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 29%
25°C 25%
21°C 15%
23°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
15%
22°C
11%
23°C
15%
24°C
29%
25°C
25%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
5%
24°C 29%
25°C 25%
21°C 15%
23°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Wol.
3%
20°C
$15 Wol.
7%
21°C
$15 Wol.
15%
22°C
$0 Wol.
11%
23°C
$0 Wol.
15%
24°C
$0 Wol.
29%
25°C
$0 Wol.
25%
26°C
$0 Wol.
5%
27°C
$12 Wol.
4%
28°C
$15 Wol.
7%
29°C or higher
$10 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24–25 °C, with modest spread that explains the near-even market split between those two bins. A building ridge of high pressure is expected to promote subsidence and clearer skies during peak heating hours, while southerly flow advects slightly warmer air from the Black Sea region; however, variable low-level moisture and the precise timing of any diurnal cloud build-up can shift the realized peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average around 23 °C, so current guidance sits modestly above climatology, but lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiative effects keeps 23 °C and 26 °C viable secondary outcomes until the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$72Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24–25 °C, with modest spread that explains the near-even market split between those two bins. A building ridge of high pressure is expected to promote subsidence and clearer skies during peak heating hours, while southerly flow advects slightly warmer air from the Black Sea region; however, variable low-level moisture and the precise timing of any diurnal cloud build-up can shift the realized peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average around 23 °C, so current guidance sits modestly above climatology, but lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiative effects keeps 23 °C and 26 °C viable secondary outcomes until the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$72Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models place Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24–25 °C, with modest spread that explains the near-even market split between those two bins. A building ridge of high pressure is expected to promote subsidence and clearer skies during peak heating hours, while southerly flow advects slightly warmer air from the Black Sea region; however, variable low-level moisture and the precise timing of any diurnal cloud build-up can shift the realized peak by 1–2 °C. Historical August maxima average around 23 °C, so current guidance sits modestly above climatology, but lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiative effects keeps 23 °C and 26 °C viable secondary outcomes until the final model runs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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