Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows overnight lows on August 17 stabilizing in the 71–74°F range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This consensus, aligned with climatological normals near 70°F for mid-August Central Park observations, underpins the market’s tight clustering on 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Minor upward shifts in guidance over the past 24 hours, tied to warmer boundary-layer air and reduced dew-point depressions, have narrowed the spread versus earlier runs that allowed slightly cooler scenarios. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum at Central Park, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift the primary variables that could alter the final reading before markets settle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
72-73°F 45%
70-71°F 17%
74-75°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
45%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
8%
80°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 45%
70-71°F 17%
74-75°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
61°F or below
$5 Wol.
1%
62-63°F
$5 Wol.
4%
64-65°F
$5 Wol.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
5%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
8%
70-71°F
$45 Wol.
17%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
45%
74-75°F
$1 Wol.
14%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
6%
78-79°F
$5 Wol.
8%
80°F or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows overnight lows on August 17 stabilizing in the 71–74°F range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This consensus, aligned with climatological normals near 70°F for mid-August Central Park observations, underpins the market’s tight clustering on 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Minor upward shifts in guidance over the past 24 hours, tied to warmer boundary-layer air and reduced dew-point depressions, have narrowed the spread versus earlier runs that allowed slightly cooler scenarios. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum at Central Park, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift the primary variables that could alter the final reading before markets settle.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$71Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows overnight lows on August 17 stabilizing in the 71–74°F range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This consensus, aligned with climatological normals near 70°F for mid-August Central Park observations, underpins the market’s tight clustering on 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Minor upward shifts in guidance over the past 24 hours, tied to warmer boundary-layer air and reduced dew-point depressions, have narrowed the spread versus earlier runs that allowed slightly cooler scenarios. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum at Central Park, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift the primary variables that could alter the final reading before markets settle.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$71Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows overnight lows on August 17 stabilizing in the 71–74°F range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This consensus, aligned with climatological normals near 70°F for mid-August Central Park observations, underpins the market’s tight clustering on 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Minor upward shifts in guidance over the past 24 hours, tied to warmer boundary-layer air and reduced dew-point depressions, have narrowed the spread versus earlier runs that allowed slightly cooler scenarios. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum at Central Park, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift the primary variables that could alter the final reading before markets settle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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