National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to an overnight low of 68–69°F in New York City on August 15, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable airmass with dew points supporting minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August norms near Central Park, where recent daily lows have ranged 68–71°F amid a broader warmer-than-average seasonal pattern. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these official guidance products, which show limited spread across ensemble runs. Unseasonably strong northerly flow or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling could push readings a degree or two lower, though current steering patterns and humidity make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
68-69°F 99%
64-65°F 2%
66-67°F 2%
62-63°F <1%
NOWE
$22,922 Wol.
NOWE
$22,922 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
99%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99%
64-65°F 2%
66-67°F 2%
62-63°F <1%
NOWE
$22,922 Wol.
NOWE
$22,922 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
$336 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$317 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$979 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$751 Wol.
1%
64-65°F
$517 Wol.
2%
66-67°F
$667 Wol.
2%
68-69°F
$2,443 Wol.
99%
70-71°F
$12,202 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,410 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,408 Wol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to an overnight low of 68–69°F in New York City on August 15, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable airmass with dew points supporting minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August norms near Central Park, where recent daily lows have ranged 68–71°F amid a broader warmer-than-average seasonal pattern. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these official guidance products, which show limited spread across ensemble runs. Unseasonably strong northerly flow or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling could push readings a degree or two lower, though current steering patterns and humidity make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$22,922Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to an overnight low of 68–69°F in New York City on August 15, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable airmass with dew points supporting minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August norms near Central Park, where recent daily lows have ranged 68–71°F amid a broader warmer-than-average seasonal pattern. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these official guidance products, which show limited spread across ensemble runs. Unseasonably strong northerly flow or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling could push readings a degree or two lower, though current steering patterns and humidity make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$22,922Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus points to an overnight low of 68–69°F in New York City on August 15, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable airmass with dew points supporting minimal radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological August norms near Central Park, where recent daily lows have ranged 68–71°F amid a broader warmer-than-average seasonal pattern. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these official guidance products, which show limited spread across ensemble runs. Unseasonably strong northerly flow or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling could push readings a degree or two lower, though current steering patterns and humidity make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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