Trader sentiment for Austin’s August 17 high temperature is shaped by the latest National Weather Service short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance showing a strong upper-level ridge and limited cloud cover across central Texas. Model consensus clusters in the 100–103°F range, driven by dry air masses, low soil moisture, and peak solar heating under clear skies, with afternoon dew points and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables separating the 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes. Historical mid-August baselines near 95°F underscore the elevated anomaly, while recent heat-wave persistence reinforces trader confidence in the upper bins. Updated GFS and NAM runs overnight, along with any NWS forecast discussion shifts, remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 17?
102-103°F 47%
100-101°F 41%
104-105°F 9%
98-99°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
47%
104-105°F
9%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 47%
100-101°F 41%
104-105°F 9%
98-99°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
$37 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$274 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$23 Wol.
2%
98-99°F
$89 Wol.
6%
100-101°F
$200 Wol.
41%
102-103°F
$100 Wol.
47%
104-105°F
$19 Wol.
9%
106-107°F
$91 Wol.
1%
108-109°F
$63 Wol.
1%
110-111°F
$101 Wol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$364 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Austin’s August 17 high temperature is shaped by the latest National Weather Service short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance showing a strong upper-level ridge and limited cloud cover across central Texas. Model consensus clusters in the 100–103°F range, driven by dry air masses, low soil moisture, and peak solar heating under clear skies, with afternoon dew points and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables separating the 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes. Historical mid-August baselines near 95°F underscore the elevated anomaly, while recent heat-wave persistence reinforces trader confidence in the upper bins. Updated GFS and NAM runs overnight, along with any NWS forecast discussion shifts, remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,361Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Austin’s August 17 high temperature is shaped by the latest National Weather Service short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance showing a strong upper-level ridge and limited cloud cover across central Texas. Model consensus clusters in the 100–103°F range, driven by dry air masses, low soil moisture, and peak solar heating under clear skies, with afternoon dew points and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables separating the 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes. Historical mid-August baselines near 95°F underscore the elevated anomaly, while recent heat-wave persistence reinforces trader confidence in the upper bins. Updated GFS and NAM runs overnight, along with any NWS forecast discussion shifts, remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,361Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Austin’s August 17 high temperature is shaped by the latest National Weather Service short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance showing a strong upper-level ridge and limited cloud cover across central Texas. Model consensus clusters in the 100–103°F range, driven by dry air masses, low soil moisture, and peak solar heating under clear skies, with afternoon dew points and boundary-layer mixing as the main variables separating the 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes. Historical mid-August baselines near 95°F underscore the elevated anomaly, while recent heat-wave persistence reinforces trader confidence in the upper bins. Updated GFS and NAM runs overnight, along with any NWS forecast discussion shifts, remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania