Mexico City's high elevation of about 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while August's rainy season brings frequent afternoon cloud cover, showers, and convection that cap daytime maxima. Latest extended forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate mostly cloudy skies with highs near 24–26°C (75–79°F) for August 17, aligning with climatological averages around 24°C and suppressing any strong warming. This consensus, reinforced by recent model outputs showing limited solar insolation and possible late-day precipitation, positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 52.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. No significant deviations from seasonal norms appear in current guidance, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 17?
26°C 53%
27°C 25%
25°C 16%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
16%
26°C
53%
27°C
25%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 53%
27°C 25%
25°C 16%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
$142 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$139 Wol.
1%
23°C
$209 Wol.
2%
24°C
$177 Wol.
4%
25°C
$201 Wol.
16%
26°C
$1,922 Wol.
53%
27°C
$182 Wol.
25%
28°C
$53 Wol.
4%
29°C
$58 Wol.
1%
30°C
$228 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$461 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of about 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while August's rainy season brings frequent afternoon cloud cover, showers, and convection that cap daytime maxima. Latest extended forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate mostly cloudy skies with highs near 24–26°C (75–79°F) for August 17, aligning with climatological averages around 24°C and suppressing any strong warming. This consensus, reinforced by recent model outputs showing limited solar insolation and possible late-day precipitation, positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 52.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. No significant deviations from seasonal norms appear in current guidance, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,771Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of about 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while August's rainy season brings frequent afternoon cloud cover, showers, and convection that cap daytime maxima. Latest extended forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate mostly cloudy skies with highs near 24–26°C (75–79°F) for August 17, aligning with climatological averages around 24°C and suppressing any strong warming. This consensus, reinforced by recent model outputs showing limited solar insolation and possible late-day precipitation, positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 52.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. No significant deviations from seasonal norms appear in current guidance, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,771Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation of about 2,240 meters moderates temperatures year-round, while August's rainy season brings frequent afternoon cloud cover, showers, and convection that cap daytime maxima. Latest extended forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate mostly cloudy skies with highs near 24–26°C (75–79°F) for August 17, aligning with climatological averages around 24°C and suppressing any strong warming. This consensus, reinforced by recent model outputs showing limited solar insolation and possible late-day precipitation, positions 26°C as the leading market outcome at 52.5% implied probability, followed closely by 27°C and 25°C. No significant deviations from seasonal norms appear in current guidance, keeping lower or higher extremes at minimal odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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