Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate Munich's August 19 maximum will likely fall between 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies with light westerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, though afternoon convective cloud build-up or isolated showers could trim peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Model spreads center on these variables, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C, while 30°C remains plausible if breaks in cloud allow greater surface heating. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 19?
28°C 28%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
11%
27°C
15%
28°C
28%
29°C
27%
30°C
16%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 28%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
5%
26°C
$0 Wol.
11%
27°C
$12 Wol.
15%
28°C
$35 Wol.
28%
29°C
$42 Wol.
27%
30°C
$81 Wol.
16%
31°C
$0 Wol.
4%
32°C
$0 Wol.
3%
33°C
$5 Wol.
4%
34°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate Munich's August 19 maximum will likely fall between 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies with light westerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, though afternoon convective cloud build-up or isolated showers could trim peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Model spreads center on these variables, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C, while 30°C remains plausible if breaks in cloud allow greater surface heating. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$185Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate Munich's August 19 maximum will likely fall between 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies with light westerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, though afternoon convective cloud build-up or isolated showers could trim peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Model spreads center on these variables, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C, while 30°C remains plausible if breaks in cloud allow greater surface heating. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$185Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate Munich's August 19 maximum will likely fall between 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies with light westerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime insolation and modest warm-air advection, though afternoon convective cloud build-up or isolated showers could trim peaks by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Model spreads center on these variables, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C, while 30°C remains plausible if breaks in cloud allow greater surface heating. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania