**Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s August 17 high centers on 30 °C (43.5 % implied probability) and 29 °C (31.5 %), reflecting model consensus around a typical mid-August peak.** AccuWeather projects an 88 °F (31 °C) daytime maximum with mostly cloudy skies and possible morning drizzle, while other guidance clusters between 30–32 °C. These values align with the Japan Meteorological Agency’s broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures in the Kanto region during peak summer. High humidity (often >75 %) and the urban heat-island effect support readings near the upper end of normal, yet increased cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress afternoon maxima below the 33–34 °C range that would otherwise occur under clear, high-pressure conditions. With resolution less than 24 hours away, fresh model runs from JMA and global ensembles will determine whether the final observed high settles at 29–30 °C or edges slightly higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 17?
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 11%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
32%
30°C
44%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
29°C 32%
31°C 11%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$753 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$277 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$109 Wol.
1%
27°C
$367 Wol.
4%
28°C
$248 Wol.
10%
29°C
$661 Wol.
32%
30°C
$964 Wol.
44%
31°C
$238 Wol.
11%
32°C
$161 Wol.
3%
33°C
$169 Wol.
1%
34°C or higher
$249 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s August 17 high centers on 30 °C (43.5 % implied probability) and 29 °C (31.5 %), reflecting model consensus around a typical mid-August peak.**
AccuWeather projects an 88 °F (31 °C) daytime maximum with mostly cloudy skies and possible morning drizzle, while other guidance clusters between 30–32 °C. These values align with the Japan Meteorological Agency’s broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures in the Kanto region during peak summer. High humidity (often >75 %) and the urban heat-island effect support readings near the upper end of normal, yet increased cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress afternoon maxima below the 33–34 °C range that would otherwise occur under clear, high-pressure conditions.
With resolution less than 24 hours away, fresh model runs from JMA and global ensembles will determine whether the final observed high settles at 29–30 °C or edges slightly higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,195Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s August 17 high centers on 30 °C (43.5 % implied probability) and 29 °C (31.5 %), reflecting model consensus around a typical mid-August peak.**
AccuWeather projects an 88 °F (31 °C) daytime maximum with mostly cloudy skies and possible morning drizzle, while other guidance clusters between 30–32 °C. These values align with the Japan Meteorological Agency’s broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures in the Kanto region during peak summer. High humidity (often >75 %) and the urban heat-island effect support readings near the upper end of normal, yet increased cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress afternoon maxima below the 33–34 °C range that would otherwise occur under clear, high-pressure conditions.
With resolution less than 24 hours away, fresh model runs from JMA and global ensembles will determine whether the final observed high settles at 29–30 °C or edges slightly higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,195Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s August 17 high centers on 30 °C (43.5 % implied probability) and 29 °C (31.5 %), reflecting model consensus around a typical mid-August peak.** AccuWeather projects an 88 °F (31 °C) daytime maximum with mostly cloudy skies and possible morning drizzle, while other guidance clusters between 30–32 °C. These values align with the Japan Meteorological Agency’s broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures in the Kanto region during peak summer. High humidity (often >75 %) and the urban heat-island effect support readings near the upper end of normal, yet increased cloud cover and scattered showers can suppress afternoon maxima below the 33–34 °C range that would otherwise occur under clear, high-pressure conditions. With resolution less than 24 hours away, fresh model runs from JMA and global ensembles will determine whether the final observed high settles at 29–30 °C or edges slightly higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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