Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance points to a maximum of 33 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area on 19 August under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–30 °C because traders weigh coastal moderation from Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and lingering moisture from mid-August showers that can suppress peak heating. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle differences in low-level cloud thickness, which reduces incoming solar radiation, and from the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could shave 1–2 °C off the daily high. Ensemble spread in regional models remains several degrees wide this far ahead, creating the balanced 29 °C versus 30 °C probabilities; an updated 00 UTC run or clearer satellite trends on 18 August could quickly shift the distribution toward 31 °C or higher if subsidence strengthens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 19?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 19?
30°C 33%
29°C 32%
31°C 15%
28°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
33%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 33%
29°C 32%
31°C 15%
28°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
$286 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$641 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$205 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$52 Wol.
2%
27°C
$60 Wol.
3%
28°C
$46 Wol.
14%
29°C
$121 Wol.
32%
30°C
$58 Wol.
33%
31°C
$83 Wol.
15%
32°C
$137 Wol.
5%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance points to a maximum of 33 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area on 19 August under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–30 °C because traders weigh coastal moderation from Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and lingering moisture from mid-August showers that can suppress peak heating. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle differences in low-level cloud thickness, which reduces incoming solar radiation, and from the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could shave 1–2 °C off the daily high. Ensemble spread in regional models remains several degrees wide this far ahead, creating the balanced 29 °C versus 30 °C probabilities; an updated 00 UTC run or clearer satellite trends on 18 August could quickly shift the distribution toward 31 °C or higher if subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,690Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance points to a maximum of 33 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area on 19 August under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–30 °C because traders weigh coastal moderation from Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and lingering moisture from mid-August showers that can suppress peak heating. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle differences in low-level cloud thickness, which reduces incoming solar radiation, and from the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could shave 1–2 °C off the daily high. Ensemble spread in regional models remains several degrees wide this far ahead, creating the balanced 29 °C versus 30 °C probabilities; an updated 00 UTC run or clearer satellite trends on 18 August could quickly shift the distribution toward 31 °C or higher if subsidence strengthens.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,690Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance points to a maximum of 33 °C in the Seoul-Incheon area on 19 August under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29–30 °C because traders weigh coastal moderation from Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and lingering moisture from mid-August showers that can suppress peak heating. Day-to-day variability arises from subtle differences in low-level cloud thickness, which reduces incoming solar radiation, and from the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could shave 1–2 °C off the daily high. Ensemble spread in regional models remains several degrees wide this far ahead, creating the balanced 29 °C versus 30 °C probabilities; an updated 00 UTC run or clearer satellite trends on 18 August could quickly shift the distribution toward 31 °C or higher if subsidence strengthens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania